Hello my southern SEC fan Bee-Ouches who think high and might of there selves, thinking they are the Gods of Football! I have a some stats as to why I think
The Buckeyes own the advantage in the most vital stat, Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential. They are +3.1 to +1.7 for LSU, a decisive edge.
The leader in that stat invariably wins the title game, including so-called upsets by
The last team to lose who had an edge in that stat was the Canes in '02.
In other words, LSU's got a fight on their hands.
Now, some of the standard caveats apply. LSU played in the more defensive-minded SEC. The Big Ten offenses aren't that great.
I wasn't quite sold on those numbers until I read an article on LSU's Matt Flynn.
Matt Flynn is a mediocrity. In the end I think that's what will be LSU’s death. You don't start for the first time as a 5th year senior if you are special. Flynn averages a lame 6.7 YPPA, which is much lower than any national championship QB in recent history. I looked it up and every championship team going back 10 years averaged at least 7.8 YPPA. So Flynn isn't even close.
Boeckman is right in the standard ball park, at 8.0.
All kinds of bells start ringing in my head when I read that. Let's conclude with an offering from Heisman Pundit about what he calls the "Les Miles Handicap".
With [Ryan] Perrilloux taking the snaps and handing off much of the time to Keiland Williams, LSU probably would've been a dominant 13-0 this year. Instead, Miles took the 'safe' route, playing Flynn and Jacob Hester on his way to an 11-2 mark that included several other close calls.
Now, it could be that Miles will take full advantage of the speed and talent that is available to him when the Tigers play
If Miles once again decides to rely on these less-talented (though safer) options, I think the Buckeyes will win this one but it wont be a easy win.